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A list of Mel's worst opinions

January 13, 2011 02:09PM
Thursday, April 15, 2010
Mel Kiper's worst NFL draft predictions?

I admire Mel Kiper's amazing memory of statistics. His photographic memory of the stats on every college football player comes from year-round study.

But there's no way any human or super computer could predict accurately how every college player will perform in the pros. Even Mel admits he's giving his 'opinion' and freely acknowledges they don't always pan out. The intangibles of heart, work ethic, dedication, etc. are just too hard to measure. And for that matter, the players that didn't have great NFL playing careers, may have gone on to live exemplary lives off the field.

So with all due respect to Mel, what are some of Mel Kiper's worst NFL draft predictions?

"I think Ryan Leaf is more mature than Drew Bledsoe, he's very much a grown up 21 year old."

"Wes Welker is not worth a second round pick. I don't care how much you like his work ethic ... he has done nothing to show a value that high"

Kiper had QBs Dan McGwire and Brett Favre rated evenly heading into the 1991 draft.

“JaMarcus Russell’s gonna immediately energize that Raider Nation, that fanbase, that football team- on the practice field, in that locker room- three years from now you could be looking at a guy that’s certainly one of the elite top five quarterbacks in this league. You’re talking about a 2-3 year period once he’s under center. Look out because skill level that he has is certainly John Elway like.”

"Ki-Jana (Carter) could be the next Bo Jackson"

"He (Peyton Manning) isn't John Elway, Dan Marino or Jim Kelly, but he's as good as it gets in college football," Kiper said of Manning. "A lot of these teams in the NFL are desperate for quarterbacks and he's the best out there, with Ryan Leaf a real close second."

Kiper rated TCU's LaDainian Tomlinson as tied for the 25th-best player in the 2001 draft, and only the third-best running back that year, behind Mississippi's Deuce McAllister and Wisconsin's Michael Bennett.

He thought Houston QB Andre Ware "was going to be a great NFL quarterback."

Kiper was high on Southern Cal WR Mike Williams; Detroit took him 10th overall in 2005, Williams made seven starts, had 44 catches and two TDs, and was out of the league after three seasons.

Who's the top 5 on Mel Kiper's Big Board for the 2010 Draft?
For April 7,
1) Ndamukong Suh, Nebraska, DT
2) Gerald McCoy, Alabama, DT
3) Eric Berry, Tennessee, DB
4) Jimmy Clausen, Notre Dame, QB
5) Sam Bradford, Oklahoma, QB

  Mel Kilper says Gabbert could be #1 QB

Bucky673January 13, 2011 01:40PM

  Hard to take Mel seriously

BigGame81319January 13, 2011 01:45PM

  A list of Mel's worst opinions

Bucky9745January 13, 2011 02:09PM

  just my view....

max225January 13, 2011 03:14PM

  Draftniks are not reliable in general.

Blue and Gold201January 13, 2011 06:28PM

  I agree

BlackSheep194January 14, 2011 01:15PM

  Some guys just want to play and many of the "low-odds"

Blue and Gold155January 14, 2011 03:00PM

  As an Alum and Honk

caboose211January 13, 2011 02:15PM

  Re: As an Alum and Honk

BlackSheep187January 13, 2011 02:53PM

  Two words

rams124175January 13, 2011 04:03PM

  Certainly not nearly that high. (nm)

BigRed_Ram156January 13, 2011 07:58PM

  Ditto with Sports Illistrated

MIDMOFAN205January 13, 2011 03:26PM

  My favorite Kiper line

BigGame81354January 13, 2011 03:28PM

  Re: My favorite Kiper line

db274January 13, 2011 06:49PM

  Re: My favorite Kiper line

Blue and Gold235January 13, 2011 06:52PM

  Re: Kiper get it right sometimes and sometimes he gets it wrong

Speed_Kills227January 13, 2011 08:03PM

  just like all of them

canadaram149January 13, 2011 08:23PM

  As usual

HornIt149January 14, 2011 12:31AM

  Well I agree with most of that, but

BigRed_Ram123January 14, 2011 01:41AM

  Sign 'O' The Times, huh

BlackSheep166January 14, 2011 01:08PM

  Re: your good

Speed_Kills137January 14, 2011 01:54PM

  Re: your good

BlackSheep126January 14, 2011 03:10PM

  Re: you know whats so killer about it

Speed_Kills121January 14, 2011 08:57PM

  Re: you know whats so killer about it

BlackSheep114January 15, 2011 03:42AM

  Why not?

Blockandtackle144January 13, 2011 09:31PM

  How about a little perspective on Kiper

Flipper336192January 13, 2011 09:55PM

  In other words, Mel is waffling...

theohall156January 14, 2011 01:24AM

  Re: In other words, Mel needs to be making Waffles.

ycramsfan134January 14, 2011 09:14PM